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2024-12-13 04:34:10

After the A-share market opened higher and the bond bull market continued today, what will happen to the stock market and bond market in the future? At present, brokers are generally optimistic about both stocks and debts.At the same time that A-shares opened higher and went lower, today's bond market is like a rainbow, and the seesaw effect of stock market and bond market reappears. The intraday 30-year treasury bond futures main contract rose by 1.60%, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.73%, and the 5-year main contract rose by 0.44%, hitting a record high. At the same time, the yield of government bonds kept falling, and the yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market fell below 1.85%, continuing to set a new record low.Just last Friday, a lot of funds have entered the market, and the three major stock indexes of A shares rose more than 1% that day. Previously, the market essays have flowed out of the time of two major conferences, and the market traded the expectation of "two key conferences are good" many times in November. Previously, CITIC Securities had expressed its outlook for December in the research report, and it is expected that the policy of the Central Economic Work Conference will remain positive, reversing the expectation that institutional funds were too conservative; At the same time, it is expected that the economic data will rise steadily, and the partial improvement of the price signal in the real estate sector will also boost investor confidence; In the end, institutional funds, active funds and retail funds will gradually form a resonance to promote the market's new year's market.


Soochow securities said that "moderate easing" may mean that the interest rate cut is more than expected, and the liquidity is relaxed. Soochow securities believes that under the current loose monetary policy, next year will usher in the stage of "two bulls with stocks and debts", and it is expected that the yield of 10-year treasury bonds will drop to 1.5%.At the same time that the three major A-share stock indexes "spread", Hong Kong stocks also opened higher and went lower, and even the Hang Seng Technology Index and Hong Kong Hang Seng Index turned green.At the close, the three A-share indexes all rose below 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.59% to 3,422.66 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.75% to 10,812.58 points and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose 0.69% to 2,264.05 points. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 2.2 trillion, 565.7 billion more than the previous trading day. Humanoid robots, food processing, internet e-commerce, Sora concept and other sectors were among the top gainers, while the sectors of cultivating diamonds, coal, ports and electricity were among the top losers.


While some funds flow into the bond market, some funds choose to take profits.When the market opened in early trading, the three major indexes of A shares put on a "bullish" posture. In the morning session, under the tone of "stabilizing the property market and improving investment efficiency", the three major indexes of A shares opened sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite Index opened 2.58% higher; Shenzhen Component Index opened 3.66% higher; Growth enterprise market index opened 4.88% higher, but the three major stock indexes then began to fluctuate downward, and there was no obvious rebound all day, and finally made up for the gap left by the early opening.Soochow securities said that "moderate easing" may mean that the interest rate cut is more than expected, and the liquidity is relaxed. Soochow securities believes that under the current loose monetary policy, next year will usher in the stage of "two bulls with stocks and debts", and it is expected that the yield of 10-year treasury bonds will drop to 1.5%.

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